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170 articles in Strategy

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Strategy
2025-07-144 min read

The Futures Opening Drive: Trading the First 15 Minutes of the Cash Session

The first minutes after the 9:30 AM ET cash open can move fast in either direction. Here is how to define an opening drive, the conditions I watch, two entry approaches with their risk, how to spot a failed drive, and how to test the idea yourself.

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Strategy
2025-07-154 min read

How to Use the Previous Day High and Low in Futures Trading

Previous day high and low are simple prices that only help when you define them the same way every time. This guide covers four reactions to test, how to check them against KPL levels after the open, and how to log the results honestly.

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Strategy
2025-07-104 min read

How to Use the NYSE TICK Indicator for Futures Trading

NYSE TICK counts stocks trading on upticks minus downticks, and it's a useful read on market breadth, not a map of institutional orders. Here's how to read the extremes, check divergences at KPL levels after the open, and test it in your own journal.

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Strategy
2025-07-114 min read

How to Trade High Volatility Days in ES and NQ Futures

On CPI, FOMC and shock days, a stop that works on a normal session gets run by noise. This guide shows how to size down with worked ES and MES math, widen stops to match volatility, and wait for the market to settle.

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Strategy
2025-07-084 min read

How to Trade the ES Futures Monday Open: The Weekly Setup Strategy

Monday has a different gap context than other sessions, and the weekly open is defined two ways. Here's how to classify the gap, mark your reference levels, avoid the first-minutes spread, and test whether gap fills actually happen on your instrument.

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Strategy
2025-07-094 min read

How to Use the Commitment of Traders (COT) Report for Futures Trading

The COT report shows futures positioning as of Tuesday, released three days later. Here's how to read the Traders in Financial Futures data for ES and NQ, build a percentile, and treat the result as slow context rather than a timing signal.

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Strategy
2025-07-025 min read

How to Identify Trending vs. Ranging Markets in ES and NQ Futures (And Trade Each Correctly)

Running a trend approach on a range day, or fading a trend day, costs money even when entries look fine. Here's how to classify the day's regime from VWAP, the opening range and volume, then adjust strategy and size.

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Strategy
2025-07-034 min read

Indicators vs. Price Action in Futures Trading

An indicator is a calculation on the same price bars you already see, so the real question is which calculations add information and which add clutter. Here is how to build a minimal ES and NQ chart and test each addition against your own trade log.

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Strategy
2025-06-294 min read

How to Scale Out of Futures Trades: A Partial Profit Plan for ES and NQ

Scaling out trades some profit for lower variance, and whether expectancy improves depends on one number: how often trades continue after the first target. Here is a worked hypothetical comparison, the break-even logic, and how to set up the orders in NinjaTrader 8.

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Strategy
2025-06-264 min read

Trading the Close: The Final Hour of the ES and NQ Session

The last hour of the US cash session has different volume, different order flow and different risks than the morning. Here is what changes, what the closing imbalance data can and cannot tell you, and how to decide in advance whether to trade it at all.

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Strategy
2025-06-274 min read

How to Convert a Discretionary Observation Into a Testable Trading Rule

A pattern you can only describe as 'it looks like it wants to go higher' can't be tested or repeated. This walks through turning one observation into entry, stop, target and filter rules, then testing and documenting it without fooling yourself.

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Strategy
February 17, 20265 min read

KPL Trading Strategy Explained: Key Price Levels for Futures

KPLs are fixed reference prices for ES and NQ anchored to the regular-session opening print. This guide explains how they are used, three ways to trade around them, how to size stops, and the mistakes that make a level map less useful.

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Strategy
January 2, 20264 min read

KPLs Explained: How Key Price Levels Work

KPLs are fixed reference prices anchored to the regular-session opening print, with four levels in the standard ES and NQ map. Here is how they are built, when they exist, and how to plan trades around them with defined risk.

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Strategy
December 20, 20253 min read

Is the Marty Bot Profitable? How to Judge a Mean-Reversion Bot

Profit claims about any bot, Marty included, mean little without costs, drawdown, sample size and live fills. This guide shows how to judge a mean-reversion bot, with a hypothetical cost example and where to find Marty's current specs.

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Strategy
October 15, 20255 min read

Introduction to Order Flow: Seeing Inside the Candles

Order flow shows who traded aggressively at each price, which a candlestick hides. Learn delta, footprint charts, absorption and the depth of market, along with the limits of each tool and a way to practice before risking money.

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Strategy
March 21, 20265 min read

Mean Reversion Trading Strategy Explained, With Futures Examples

Mean reversion sounds simple: price stretches from an average and you fade it. The hard parts are defining the stretch, filtering trend days, and sizing the target. This guide walks through the logic with a hypothetical NQ example and the failure modes.

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Strategy
March 21, 20264 min read

Best NinjaTrader 8 Indicators for Futures Day Trading

Most NinjaTrader charts carry more indicators than the trader can interpret. This guide covers a short set for ES and NQ day trading, what question each answers, what to remove, and how fixed Key Price Levels fit on the chart.

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Strategy
March 21, 20265 min read

How to Set Up an Automated Strategy in NinjaTrader 8

A step-by-step guide to installing a NinjaScript strategy in NinjaTrader 8: importing the ZIP, connecting data, setting parameters, backtesting with realistic costs, running on SIM, and what to check before any live use, including firm automation rules.

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Strategy
March 21, 20265 min read

Pairs Trading ES vs NQ: How a Spread Trade Works

A pairs trade bets on the gap between two related instruments, not on market direction. This guide covers the ES and NQ spread, correlation versus cointegration, a hypothetical dollar-neutral calculation, execution costs, and the ways the trade breaks.

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Strategy
March 21, 20265 min read

NinjaTrader 8 vs TradingView for Automated Futures Trading

NinjaTrader 8 and TradingView are built for different jobs. This guide compares charting, strategy code, order routing, firm rules and costs for futures traders, and explains why automation permission matters more than the platform.

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Strategy
March 21, 20265 min read

The YMI Long-Term Strategy: Weekly MACD Divergence Plus a Discount Score

A falling price isn't a discount. This long-term framework requires weekly MACD divergence and a valuation score to agree before you buy in thirds, then sells in tranches. Here are the rules, a worked example, and what you'd need to test before trusting it.

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Strategy
March 21, 20264 min read

Swing Trading Futures: A Systematic Approach to Overnight and Multi-Day Positions

Holding futures overnight changes the risk: gaps can jump past your stop, margin rules differ, and weekends add event risk. This guide covers market choice, a worked position-size calculation with a gap allowance, stop and exit rules, and what to check before holding over a weekend.

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Strategy
March 21, 20254 min read

Best Time to Trade ES Futures: Session Hours, Volatility Windows and When to Stay Out

ES trades almost around the clock, but your attention and results do not spread evenly across it. This guide maps the session by time of day, explains what tends to change in each window, and shows how to test which windows work for you.

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Strategy
March 21, 20254 min read

ES Futures Gap Fill Strategy: How to Trade Opening Gaps

A gap fill trade looks easy on a chart and gets expensive in practice. This guide defines the gap, shows the entry and stop math with a worked hypothetical, explains why the reward-to-risk is thinner than most people assume, and how to measure fill rates yourself.

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